Thursday, 28 February 2013

An example of Simple Kurtosis, Skewness and Mean Asset Selection Filter for Equities

On this chart, you can roughly find what sort of equities you can invest.

Well, I've few more methods to further classify them... :-)


I input 100 stocks into this simple system. After filtering them out and further combining the results with the mean reversion strategy, 5 stocks are selected. They are Stock 3, 28, 55, 60, 67. (Please note: the calculations for Kurtosis, Skewness and Mean have been modified in this example.)

Friday, 22 February 2013

A thought about equity picking model

I used to work on the development of statistical filters and the KPI by blending the stats such as Sortino Ratio, Omega Ratio, Skewness, Kurtosis and so on for selecting and ranking Equities/ETFs/Hedge Funds. Today some thoughts pop into my head few hours after the talks. I ask myself why not implement the statistics of those Equities/ETFs/Hedge Funds and the mean reversion models into the SVM. SVM can handle the selection and filtering things. I use the SVM to do the pattern recognition for trading strategies. Obviously, it can also help me classify and find the patterns within those assets across the investment universe!


Wednesday, 20 February 2013

A Noise Or A Pattern?

Do you see the patterns? It's not really noisy, isn't it?

100% quantitative models based systematic trading

The Performances are generated by 100% systematic trading systems, and all the simulations are based on the forecasts. 

The definition of quantitative trading can be found at below link:
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quantitative-trading.asp

Tuesday, 19 February 2013

Nasdaq Trend-Following System 2 - Out of sample simulation

Total Trades 501
Num of winning trades 296
Num of losing trades 204
% of Winning 59.08%
Average Profit on winning  2.19%
Average Loss on losing  -1.79%

Slippages & Costs have been taken into account

Nasdaq Trend-Following System 1 - Out of sample simulation

Total Trades 498
Num of winning trades 297
Num of losing trades 201
% of Winning 59.64%
Average Profit on winning  2.17%
Average Loss on losing  -1.81%

Slippages & Costs have been taken into account

SP500 Trend-Following System 2 - Out of sample simulation

Total Trades 483
Num of winning trades 296
Num of losing trades 187
% of Winning 61.28%
Average Profit on winning  1.58%
Average Loss on losing  -1.22%

Slippages & Costs have been taken into account.

SP500 Trend-Following System 1 - Out of sample simulation

Total Trades 520
Num of winning trades 318
Num of losing trades 202
% of Winning 61.15%
Average Profit on winning  1.65%
Average Loss on losing  -1.37%




Slippages & Costs are taken into account